03
Nov
08

Workin’ for a loser


southerngent.wordpress.com
Originally uploaded by johnvierdsen

You ever worked for somebody that you knew was going to lose? Someone that, as a former co-worker said, “It would take the endorsement of Jesus Christ for this guy to win?”

Vierdsen has. It was a special election. His guy had no shot. Like, say, best-case scenario was a 2-1 loss. The only people that possibly thought he could win were the candidate and his immediate family. Still, all sorts of work went into the campaign. It did seem a little half-assed, though — the GOTV lists had names of people who were obviously supporting his opponent. Not so good.

Anyway, he lost, which everyone knew would happen, then everybody packed up and went home.

The thing, though, is not being delusional. The polls and the demographics are against you. You know what’s going to happen.

That’s why John’s shaking his head about the absolutely nutty happenings in other parts of the blogosphere these days. Hey, get ready for a bad election day. You may not have had many like this in, oh, a decade, but that’s the way the ballots fall.

It’s absolutely insane that Fogle’s using the hackneyed comparison to the 1948 election. First of all, polling isn’t what it was then. The pollsters shut down two weeks before the election. Second, polling now isn’t what it was eight years ago. There are a lot of people who don’t have landlines, and every indication is that a lot of “non-likely” voters will be heading to the polls. Third, Truman was the incumbent president, and even with the Dixiecrat rebellion, had a good number of electoral votes locked up already.

It’s not even apples and oranges — it’s bananas and steak.

In 1992, President George H.W. Bush was invoking Truman as well. How did that one end up? A 370-168 loss.

Sometimes you just have to hunker down and take it, then get back to work. Acting like you live in fantasyland only makes you look silly.

By the way, for a great book on ’48, read The Last Campaign by Zachary Karabell.

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